Thursday, August 4, 2011

Very Roughly

Our favourite way of doing it. Calculations, we mean.

So, quick and dirty, capgeek has the team shedding $22.7 million dollars in salary at the end of this upcoming season. Sounds like a lot. The reason the team has so much salary coming off the books, though, is because the team will see ten players currently under contract reach UFA status, and two more players will reach RFA status. Which is a big chunk of the roster to have to replace.

The team will still have five forwards under contract, so by our math that means they need to add eight more to get to thirteen. On the blueline, the team will still have five players under contract, so again, they will probably look to add two more defensemen. Ten spots will need to be filled.

$22,700,000/10 = $2,270,000 available to spend per player.

This is being brought up, of course, because that same offseason will most likely see Suter hit the free agent market. Could the Flames afford to bring him in? Or should the Flames look to spend their money on forwards?

Let's get rough. Say we add Suter. We double his salary to sign him, making him a $7 million dollar cap number. 22,700,000-7,000,000 = 15,700,000/9 = $1,744,445 available to spend per player.

Rougher still, lets add some good forwards as well. How much would it cost to bring Moss back? How much would it cost to add Grabovski? Hemsky, Hudler, or a Penner? A Parise, or a Semin?

Lets say to bring back Moss or replace him with Grabovski it will cost $2.5 -$3.5 million dollars. The law firm of Hemsky, Hudler, & Penner probably cost $4 - $5 million dollars per partner, and Parise or Semin go for $6.5 - $7.5 million.

The money is running out pretty quickly, and there are still roster spots to be filled.

With the wings on this team still under contract, the team needs to add centres. Stajan is here, nobody likes it but it is what it is, and Backlund will get resigned, lets say for $2 million. $15,700,000-2,000,000 = $13,700,000 / 8 = $1,712,500 per player left to spend.

Let's say the club adds a centre for $3 million. $10,700,000 will be left for seven players. One more blueliner and six more forwards.

Assuming TJ Brodie makes the club, that other blueliner comes in at $750,000. Six more forwards to sign, $9,950,000 left to do it. Lets add three expensive scrubs at $750,000 per. That would cost $2,250,000 which would leave the club left with 7,700,000 for three forwards, or $2,566,667 per roster spot will be available to spend. Probably enough cap room there to add another player at $4 million dollars, and two more at $1.5 million, which leaves very little breathing room, but the assumption here is that the cap will go up, and the breathing room can come from there.

So, the point? The team will probably need to overpay to get free agents. It can probably afford to overpay one big ticket guy (the $7 million hit, Suter, Parise, Weber, whoever, although the teams need appears to be on the blueline to us), overpay another second tier guy, and then even overpay the lower tier guys.

The only problem with this scenario is that the money will be in the hands of the teams management, King and, to a lesser degree, Feaster (the polite fiction of Feaster as GM needs to end. He had to ask permission from King to sign the first rounder). We don't have any confidence they can get it right, and mountains of confidence that they can and will get it wrong.

We would allow those two to run out this season, and then we would fire them. We would do that for another reason besides their ability to poorly run a franchise. With $22.7 million in cap space and all those roster spots available to fill, the team will be in a position where it might look attractive to an up and coming GM type. The team will probably not have a better chance to land a serious GM. And with the team pining for a new building, it would also be a good time (for the team) to look to add a President with a little more political heft. We would look to recruit Jim Dinning, but that's because we are big thinkers. (Note: We don't want the public to have to pay for a new building...so don't hire Jim Dinning).

Anyways, team retooled. Hope, and you only have to live through one more season of expensive mediocreness. Sick as fuck.
...

We have not changed the girls in like three weeks. Our apologies. Who wants to get sexist up in this bitch?

This is from tfp.com, apparently.
Nice...jersey. They should bring those back, by the way.

Furthermore I think Peter Loubardias Ken King should be fired.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Shea Weber Arb

A shorty.

Couple of things. We like how the US government, the executive and the legislature, were able to overcome the partisans in their parties and get the GOP to roll over, err, compromise and pass a deal to enlarge the debt ceiling, but Nashville and Shea Weber are not able to negotiate in good faith even a minimum length deal.

But, oh yeah, Shea loves playing in Nashville blah blah.

We will see. Our five thoughts on the matter are:
  1. It's
  2. About
  3. The
  4. Money
  5. Fool
Which, hey, is sweet for the Calgary Flames, because they have money! Now if only we can find a team to move JBlow to for the 2012-2013 season, or whenever we get Weber and Suter, we will be all set. Ken King may even be gone by then, so the team might actually have a decent shot of winning! And in a shiny new building too (taxpayer funded, of course. Murray Edwards does business with the Red Chinese, you think he is going to spend any of his own capital?)!

Speaking of defensemen...Is Edmonton going to get any, or are they that confident they can score 600 goals this year?

Actually, check this out. While it may be the most murderous city in the province, the depth chart feature is pretty cool. Even has LD and RD identified, which is nice. Why don't the Flames have this little feature on their website? Because Glencross's dad will freak out when he sees his boy isn't in the top six, duh.

(Which brings up Hagman. Really, Calgary Flames, Hagman? And you want to make the playoffs? Ok then...)

Seriously though, the team was going to offer Brad Richards north of $65 million? You better get Weber and Suter done, no? Team has the money, obviously, and Ken King has a need not to get the STH's mad, which would cost him his job.

What, you thought winning mattered to King and Edwards? As it pertains to Edwards allowing King to keep playing with the Flames, there are five schools of thought on the matter:
  1. It's
  2. About
  3. The
  4. Money
  5. Fool
Furthermore, I think Peter Loubardias Ken King should be fired.